And edited version of this article first appeared on TechCrunch.
Startups in a world of massive markets can be confusing. The law of large numbers, platforms that can make your company blow up unexpectedly and the trendy nature of tech markets can be deceiving.
Success for many is ephemeral.
I have written about the deceiving nature of early successes before – in particular in the SaaS or B2B world leading to a phenomenon called “shelfware.” If you didn’t read it I recommend it. It’s important to understand.
This is why I loved Brad Feld’s recent post about the “illusion of product / market fit.” This, too, is a must read for any entrepreneur.
I am obsessed with a topic because it has literally become my job. I have many investments with early traction and I the entrepreneurs I work with must tire of my constantly saying,
“Are we really making a difference? Are our users addicted to our product? Are we making their lives better? Will we win the battle for share-of-mind every time they pick up their phone or log into their computers?”
I have seen many companies move rapidly up-and-to-the-right by Google search rankings only to crash when they rewrite the algorithm or start competing by offering the same service directly on the SERP. It’s ok to live-and-die by Google early.
I was waiting for my son’s basketball game to start this morning and with the morning’s emails all drained I turned to Twitter and saw this Tweet from Marshall Kirkpatick
Test: open your twitter stream, look at the 1st item in it, think of something to say in response, say it. Theory: it’s really that simple.
— Marshall Kirkpatrick (@marshallk) January 24, 2015
I consider Marshall a business friend. A fellow thinker and tinkerer of technology. Somebody I respect. And like. But here’s the thing – I honestly can’t remember how many times I’ve actually met Marshall in person? I know him really through online and from that we’ve had phone calls to debate his business and such.
It’s an online relationship and I actually believe that as of 2015 I’ve met more of my close connections in the past 5-7 years online before offline. Brad Feld. Fred Wilson. Tristan Walker. And many, many more. Some through blog comments – your place or mine. Some on Twitter.
I responded to Marshall’s obvious comment bait with “I’m always surprised more people don’t engage.
Any reader of this blog for a period of time will know that I’ve been long YouTube for years. Along with Greycroft, I was the first institutional investor in Maker Studios (sold to Disney for nearly $1 billion) and am still the largest investor in Mitu Network, the largest online video producer of Latino content. We have made 5 online video investments in total – some we will talk about later this year.
The reasons I have been long on YouTube specifically are very simple:
YouTube now has > 1 billion uniques / month. This is 14% of world population and 33% of all people online.
A new generation of content producer and video style has emerged that is distinctly different from what you see in TV. 40% of all of YouTube is viewed on mobile devices and of high-quality content I believe it is between 60-70% based on my insider data.
The stars of tomorrow are being built on these short-form formats. It’s hard to understand this until you attend something like VidCon and watch youth interaction with their “stars.
I used to love blogging.
For me it was always a creative outlet. I love sitting down – often in “one take” like a classic film – and capturing what was on my mind at the moment. What I loved about it was that my thoughts were instantly in the ether, I would get quick feedback from readers and I would know where my ideas stood in the world of ideas. If what I said was shit I knew it instantly. If what I said was clever but I said it with less empathy than I should have – I knew that, too.
Blogging proved to be a great way to hone my ideas, have public conversations with people and as it turns out – build meaningful relationships through public dialog that spilled over into the real world.
Somewhere along the way blogging changed. From the very first time I listened to Airplanes by B.o.B. it resonated.
We’ve been dying to tell you all for a while that we had raised a new venture capital fund and of course given SEC filing requirements the story was somewhat already scooped by the always-in-the-know Dan Primack a few weeks ago.
We raised $280 million. Our last fund was $200 million but as you may already know since we raised that fund we added new partners Greg Bettinelli and Kara Nortman and Venture Partner Hamet Watt – all of whom are busy looking at new deals for the firm in addition to Yves Sisteron (the founder), Steven Dietz (also part of founding team) and myself.
The speaks to the continued confidence in the venture capital markets and